MAM 10

Day 0: Tuesday, 12 February, 2019.

18:00

Meet for drinks at a local pub. An opportunity to connect with others before the conference.
Informal meeting at The Whaler, 39 Salamanca Place, Battery Point TAS 7004.
Phone: (03) 6200 1854

Day 1: Wednesday, 13 February, 2019.

8:00–8:30	Registration, Foyer, Level 2.
Session 1	Session chair: Peter Taylor
8:30–9:00	Welcome by Anthony Koutoulis, Acting Deputy Vice-Chancellor (Research), UTAS. Opening address by Qi-Ming He. In memory of Marcel Neuts. Announcements and practical details by Barbara Holland.
9:00–9:40	Phil Pollett Quasi stationarity.
9:40–10:05	Stefano Massei and Sophie Hautphenne A new numerical method for computing the quasi-stationary distribution of subcritical Galton-Watson branching processes.
10:05–10:30	Dario Bini, Stefano Massei, Beatrice Meini and Leonardo Robol Matrix analytic methods for reflected random walks with stochastic restarts.
10:30–10:50	Morning tea
Session 2	Session chair: Nigel Bean
10:50–11:15	Peter Braunsteins and Sophie Hautphenne Extinction in lower Hessenberg branching processes with countably many types.
11:15–11:40	Peter Braunsteins and Sophie Hautphenne. The probabilities of extinction in a branching random walk on a strip.
11:40–12:05	Matthieu Simon SIR epidemics with stochastic infectious periods.
12:05–12:30	R. Pavithra Celeste and Thazhungal Govindan Deepak On Fisher Information of some functions of Phase Type variates.
12:30–13:45	Lunch
Session 3	Session chair: Peter Braunsteins
13:45–14:25	Søren Asmussen On some fixed-point problems connecting branching and queueing.
14:25–14:50	Gábor Horváth, Illés Horváth and Miklós Telek High order low variance matrix-exponential distributions.
14:50–15:15	Gábor Horváth, Illés Horváth, Salah Almousa and Miklós Telek Numerical inverse Laplace transformation by concentrated matrix exponential distributions.
15:15–15:35	Afternoon tea
Session 4	Session chair: Barbara Margolius
15:35–16:00	Sarah James, Nigel Bean and Jonathan Tuke. (S) Modelling intensive care units using quasi-birth-death processes.
16:00–16:25	Aregawi Kiros Abera, Małgorzata O’Reilly, Barbara Holland, Mark Fackrell and Mojtaba Heydar. (S) Decision support model for patient admission scheduling problem with random arrivals and departures.
16:25–16:50	Mojtaba Heydar and Małgorzata O’Reilly Maximum Markovian decision-support model for patient-to-ward assignment problem in a random environment.
18:00–20:00	River cruise

Day 2: Thursday, 14 February, 2019.

8:45–9:00	Group Photo with Jim Palfreyman
Session 5	Session chair: Sophie Hautphenne
9:00–9:40	Jevgenijs Ivanovs One-sided Markov additive processes: the three fundamental matrices and the scale function.
9:40–10:05	Guy Latouche Nearly-completely decomposable Markov modulated fluid queues.
10:05–10:30	Nigel Bean, Giang T. Nguyen and Federico Poloni A new algorithm for time-dependent first-return probabilities of a fluid queue.
10:30–10:50	Morning tea
Session 6	Session chair: Soohan Ahn
10:50–11:15	Nigel Bean, Giang Nguyen, Bo Friis Nielsen and Oscar Peralta A fluid flow model with RAP components.
11:15–11:40	Aviva Samuelson, Małgorzata O’Reilly and Nigel Bean. (S) Winner of Student Prize Construction of algorithms for discrete-time quasi-birth-and-death processes through physical interpretation.
11:40–12:05	Max Wurm, Andrew Baird, Nigel Bean, Sean Connolly, Ariella Helfgott and Giang Nguyen. (S) Polyp fiction: A stochastic fluid model for the Adaptive Bleaching Hypothesis.
12:05–12:30	Barbara Margolius and Małgorzata O‘Reilly Asymptotic periodic analysis of cyclic stochastic fluid flows with time-varying transition rates.
12:30–13:45	Lunch, Foyer
Session 7	Session chair: Jeremy Sumner
13:45–14:25	Zbigniew Palmowski One-sided Markov additive processes: exit problems and related topics.
14:25–14:50	Tristan Stark, Małgorzata O’Reilly and Barbara Holland Models for the evolution of microsatellites.
14:50–15:15	Jiahao Diao, Tristan Stark, David Liberles, Małgorzata O’Reilly and Barbara Holland Models for the evolution of gene-duplicates: Applications of Phase-Type distributions.
15:15–15:35	Afternoon tea
Session 8	Session chair: Oscar Peralta
15:35–16:00	Jiahao Diao, Tristan Stark, David Liberles, Małgorzata O’Reilly and Barbara Holland. (S) Model for the evolution of the family of gene duplicates.
17:00–late	Excursion to Mount Wellington and conference dinner at the award winning Home Hill winery.

Day 3: Friday, 15 February, 2019.

Session 9	Session chair: Mark Fackrell
9:00–9:40	Giang Nguyen Rate of strong convergence of stochastic fluid processes to Markov–modulated Brownian motion. pdf
9:40–10:05	Qi-Ming He, Mark Fackrell and Peter Taylor Characterization of the boundary of the set of matrix-exponential distributions with only real poles.
10:05–10:30	Soohan Ahn and Beatrice Meini Matrix equations in Markov modulated Brownian motion: theoretical properties and numerical solution.
10:30–10:50	Morning tea
Session 10	Session chair: Barbara Holland
10:50–11:15	Venta Terauds and Jeremy Sumner Maximum likelihood rearrangement distance for circular genomes.
11:15–11:40	Jeremy Sumner and Julia Shore Algebraic constraints on the transition probability matrices produced from Lie-Markov models.
11:40–12:05	Julia Shore, Barbara Holland, Jeremy Sumner, Kay Nieselt and Peter Wills. (S) Substitution matrices recapitulate amino acid specificity of aaRS phylogenies.
12:05–12:30	Jeremy Sumner and Michael Baake The Markov embedding problem: a new look from an algebraic perspective.
12:30–13:45	Lunch
Session 11	Session chair: Tristan Stark
13:45–14:25	Azam Asanjarani Bursty Markovian Arrival Processes. pdf
14:25–14:50	Barbara Margolius Eulerian numbers and an explicit formula for a random walk generating function.
14:50–15:15	Kayla Javier and Brian Fralix An exact analysis of a class of Markovian Bitcoin models.
15:15–15:35	Afternoon tea
Session 12	Session chair: Peter Taylor
15:35–15:50	Student Prize. Closing.
15:50–16:30	MAM planning meeting.